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Understanding Fundamental Effects on Price

Another really huge issue with the btc community in general, and this reddit especially, is the lack of nuance on price. And again, an unwillingness to accept critique.
There are several scenario that can play out with price, but in some of those scenario, we may even see a huge price pump, while *still failing at adoption*. And I think that's an important distinction to make. Just because wallstreet pumps the price for reasons that only concern the rich and institutions, does not equate to adoption. It does not equate to us making vital changes for the betterment of the network and adoption. It just doesn't.

Wallstreet is perfectly content with hyper regulated bitcoin that is totally irrelevant for the common man and unadopted and unused, they are perfectly fine treating bitcoin as a glorified sovereign bond and international form of settlement. That is how the institutions and rich see it. They see it much like they see bonds and gold, and are willing to treat it as such. This is even a positive in some regard because it brings monetary transparency into the banking and wealth sector.

But it does not address cypherpunk, emancipatory politics, or global poverty, or individual sovereignty. And it is acheived largely through extreme centralization and hyper invasive surveillance. Be clear, they can pump the price to 250,000 while still controlling everything through Patriot Act, AMLD5, NDAA, and FACTA and the banking secrecy Act. All of which Bitcoin is entirely ideologically incompatible with. But that's just fine, because the rich already comply with those laws (mostly). They already price in the regulatory and compliance costs of an institution, of an offshore tax haven.

That's just it. IT's fine for them to do this to btc, because the laws are designed for them. They create the barriers only they can afford to play in, while hurting it for everyone else.

The average common man in the world, and any developing country should be able to easily acquire btc without kyc. Period. It shouldn't be a surveillance state. I recently listened to Peter McCormack interview a darkmarket guy and I completely agree. We need to engineer away from on ramps, we need to engineer away from payment gates that involve fiat, and we need to all use coinjoiners and mixing technology. It needs to be the standard. There are so many reasons to use coinjoining for non illegality. Privacy is a fundamental need.

And internet 4.0 for finance is contingent on a lot of technology. These aren't really coins either. It is backbone technology to better facilitate bitcoin. But we have to have layer two solutions. It doesn't matter whether it's RSK or plasma, or both, we just need the secondary layer to pay for distributed processing, server function, matching, liquidity, file storage, atomic swaps, network gas, etc. DeFi network value cannot be conflated with the supply and demand of btc itself, we don't need permissioned side chains, we need permissionless open source side chains and interoperatibilty platforms that will protect the privacy of bitcoin and facilitate it on decentralized exchanges. On exchanges that cannot be taken down. To do that we need staggering amounts of technology innovation and thoroughput, that will require people to host nodes, mine and stake these ancillary services to protect the backbone of bitcoin commerce.

Anyone who is into toxic maximalism. Let it be known that you are willfully promoting corporate bitcoin supported by massive centralized players who will treat it as a bond or settlement statist instrument. You're promoting the support of bitcoin on an entirely captured regulatory framework and an entirely captured unsafe unsecure regular internet controlled by the clearnet and amazon and google and heavily surveiled. .Org just privatize for fuck sakes. And any DNS can be compromised, any .com site can be siezed. This normal backbone is entirely inappropriate for bitcoin. Centralized exchanges and payment apps like cash app are entirely inappropriate for bitcoin.

You should be able to visit a IFPS site, connect a hardware wallet to any DEX or DAPP and immediately trade with the same speed and liquidity of binance and bitmex. The user interface should be simple and approachable to the layman. We need a liquidity interbank controlled by SPV server and dark node. Payment incentives for people to host liquidity to the network on plasma, radon, cosmos, uniswap, eventually all the DEX will simply be connected by interchain liquidity.

Crypto has to be extremely unfettered. The regulators and wallstreet have strangled it and will continue to do so. Some people have forgotten that this is a battle for financial sovereignty and protection against wealth confiscation. Only when they realize that they can't control us, will they be forced to sit down at the legislative table and negotiate with common people. You have to bring your government to heel.
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Blade raises $4.3m from Coinbase

Blade, a new cryptocurrency derivatives exchange launching in three weeks, has raised $4.3 million in seed funding from a host of investors, including Coinbase, SV Angel, A.Capital, Slow Ventures, Justin Kan and Adam D’Angelo, according to Tech Crunch.
Prior to starting the company, CEO Jeff Byun and his co-founder, Henry Lee, founded OrderAhead, a delivery start-up platform that was eventually acquired in-part by Square in 2017.
The pair’s newest company shares little in common with their previous venture, but they are bringing aboard some of the same investors to support them. The exchange is tackling perpetual swap contracts.
Perpetuals are a crypto-native trading instrument that Byun says are “arguably the fastest growing segment of cryptocurrency trading.”
They allow traders to bet on the future values of cryptocurrencies in relation to another and the instruments have no expiration dates, unlike fixed maturity futures. Traders can bet on how the price of Bitcoin can increase relative to USD, but they can also make bets relative to other altcoins like Monero, DogeCoin, Zcash, Ripple and Binance Coin.
Blade’s noteworthy spins on perpetuals trading — compared to other exchanges — are that most of the contracts will be set up on simplified vanilla contracts, the perpetuals will also be margined/settled in USD Tether and the company is offering higher leverages on trades.
The crypto exchange is raising funds from Silicon Valley’s VCs, but US investors won’t be legally able to participate in the exchange. US government agencies have been a bit more stringent in regulating cryptocurrencies, so there’s more trading activity taking place on exchanges outside the jurisdiction. Blade itself is an offshore entity with a US subsidiary as its primary market is East Asia.
“It’s kind of a bifurcated market,” says Byun. “Either you have exchanges like Coinbase or Gemini or Bitrex that cater to the U.S. market that are highly regulated or the exchanges that cater to the non-U.S. market that are much less regulated, but that’s where most of the volume is.”
While the company is still three weeks away from launch, the founders have bold ambitions. Byun hopes that Blade will be the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) of crypto.
* More Details Here
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J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Thurs 9.14.17 - **PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT**

J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Thurs 9.14.17 Trading Desk Commentary; For Institutional Investors Only
*PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT*

Morning Levels

Trading Update

Top Headlines for Thursday

Calendar of events to watch for the week of Mon Sept 18

Catalysts – big events to watch over the coming months

Tech Events – calendar of events coming up over the next few weeks

Full catalyst list

  • Mon Sept 18 – China Aug property prices (Sun night/Mon morning)
  • Mon Sept 18 – US NAHB housing market index for Sept. 10amET.
  • Mon Sept 18 – analyst meetings: BA
  • Mon Sept 18 – earnings after the close: SCS
  • Tues Sept 19 – Eurozone/German ZEW survey for Sept. 5amET.
  • Tues Sept 19 – US current account balance for Q2. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Sept 19 – US housing starts for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Sept 19 – US import prices for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Sept 19 – US building permits for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Sept 19 – analyst meetings: AIR Canada, BA, BBY, BIG, CARB
  • Tues Sept 19 – earnings before the open: APOG, AZO, PGR
  • Tues Sept 19 – earnings after the close: ADBE, AIR, ALOG, BBBY, FDX
  • Wed Sept 20 – US existing home sales for Aug. 10amET.
  • Wed Sept 20 – FOMC decision. 2pmET press release and 2:30pmET press conf.
  • Wed Sept 20 – analyst meetings: PPC
  • Wed Sept 20 – earnings before the open: GIS
  • Wed Sept 20 – earnings after the close: MLHR
  • Thurs Sept 21 – BOJ policy decision (Wed night/Thurs morning).
  • Thurs Sept 21 – ECB economic bulletin. 4amET.
  • Thurs Sept 21 – Eurozone consumer confidence for Sept. 10amET.
  • Thurs Sept 21 – US FHFA home price index for Jul. 9amET.
  • Thurs Sept 21 – US Leading Index for Aug. 10amET.
  • Thurs Sept 21 – earnings before the open: MANU
  • Thurs Sept 21 – earnings after the close: PSDO, YOGA
  • Fri Sept 22 – Eurozone flash PMIs for Sept. 4amET.
  • Fri Sept 22 – US flash PMIs for Sept. 9:45amET.
  • Fri Sept 22 – Fed speakers (Williams, George, Kaplan)
  • Fri Sept 22 – analyst meetings: Adecco
  • Fri Sept 22 – earnings before the open: FINL, KMX
  • Mon Sept 25 – German IFO results for Sept. 4amET.
  • Mon Sept 25 – US Chicago Fed Index for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Mon Sept 25 – US Dallas Fed Index for Sept. 10:30amET.
  • Mon Sept 25 – analyst meetings: CMS, Total
  • Mon Sept 25 – earnings after the close: RHT
  • Tues Sept 26 – US Case-Shiller home price index for Jul. 9amET.
  • Tues Sept 26 – US new home sales for Aug. 10amET.
  • Tues Sept 26 – US Conf. Board Consumer Confidence for Sept. 10amET.
  • Tues Sept 26 – Yellen delivers keynote at NABE conference in Cleveland. 12pmET.
  • Tues Sept 26 – analyst meetings: Nestle, SPR, UBNT, VAR
  • Tues Sept 26 – earnings before the open: DRI, FDS, INFO
  • Tues Sept 26 – earnings after the close: LNDC, MU, NKE, WOR
  • Wed Sept 27 – China industrial profits for Aug (Tues night/Wed morning)
  • Wed Sept 27 – Eurozone M3 money supply figures for Aug. 4amET.
  • Wed Sept 27 – US durable goods for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Sept 27 – US pending home sales for Aug. 10amET.
  • Wed Sept 27 – analyst meetings: AMAT, DLPH, KMX, PANW, SPR
  • Wed Sept 27 – earnings after the close: PIR
  • Thurs Sept 28 – Eurozone confidence measures for Sept. 5amET.
  • Thurs Sept 28 – German inflation for Sept. 8amET.
  • Thurs Sept 28 – US Q2 data revisions (GDP, PCE, etc.). 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Sept 28 – US advance goods trade balance for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Sept 28 – analyst meetings: AEE, AFL
  • Thurs Sept 28 – earnings before the open: ACN, MKC, MTN, RAD
  • Thurs Sept 28 – earnings after the close: SGH
  • Fri Sept 29 – China Caixin manufacturing PMI for Sept (Thurs night/Fri morning)
  • Fri Sept 29 – German jobs numbers for Sept. 3:55amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – Eurozone CPI for Sept. 5amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – US personal income/spending for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – US PCE for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – Chicago PMI for Sept. 9:45amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – Michigan Confidence for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – analyst meetings: CMP
  • Sat Sept 30 – China NBS manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI for Sept (Fri night/Sat morning)
  • Mon Oct 2 – China mainland markets closed Mon 10/2-Fri 10/6 for the National Day holiday.
  • Mon Oct 2 – Eurozone manufacturing PMI for Sept. 4amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – Eurozone unemployment rate for Aug. 5amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – US manufacturing PMI for Sept. 9:45amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – US manufacturing ISM for Sept. 10amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – US construction spending for Aug. 10amET.
  • Tues Oct 3 – Eurozone PPI for Aug. 5amET.
  • Tues Oct 3 – US auto sales for Sept.
  • Tues Oct 3 – analyst meetings: F/Ford (Ford CEO to host strategic update), INTU, SHW
  • Tues Oct 3 – earnings before the open: PAYX
  • Wed Oct 4 – Eurozone services PMI for Sept. 4amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – Eurozone retail sales for Aug. 5amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – RBI rate decision. 5amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – US ADP jobs report for Sept. 8:15amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – US services PMI for Sept. 9:45amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – US non-manufacturing ISM for Sept. 10amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – Yellen delivers opening remarks at Community Banking conf. 3:15pmET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – analyst meetings: MNK, TTD
  • Wed Oct 4 – earnings before the open: MON, PEP
  • Wed Oct 4 – earnings after the close: RECN
  • Thurs Oct 5 – ECB meeting minutes. 7:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 5 – US factory orders and durable goods for Aug. 10amET.
  • Thurs Oct 5 – analyst meetings: BKH, CLX, LUK
  • Thurs Oct 5 – earnings before the open: STZ
  • Thurs Oct 5 – earnings after the close: COST, YUMC
  • Fri Oct 6 – German factory orders for Aug. 2amET.
  • Fri Oct 6 – US jobs report for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 6 – US wholesale inventories/trade sales for Aug. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 6 – US consumer credit for Aug. 3pmET.
  • Sat Oct 7 – China FX reserves for Sept (Fri night/Sat morning)
  • Mon Oct 9 – China Caixin services PMI for Sept (Sun night/Mon morning)
  • Mon Oct 9 – German industrial production for Aug. 2amET.
  • Mon Oct 9 – Columbus Day holiday in the US (equities will be open while fixed income is closed).
  • Tues Oct 10 – German trade balance for Aug. 2amET.
  • Tues Oct 10 – analyst meetings: TECD, WDAY, WMT
  • Tues Oct 10 – PG shareholder meeting
  • Wed Oct 11 – US JOLTs report for Aug. 10amET.
  • Wed Oct 11 – Fed minutes from the Sept 20 meeting (2pmET).
  • Wed Oct 11 – analyst meetings: KR
  • Wed Oct 11 – earnings before the open: FAST
  • Thurs Oct 12 – Eurozone industrial production for Aug. 5amET.
  • Thurs Oct 12 – US PPI for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 12 – analyst meetings: BOX, HPQ
  • Thurs Oct 12 – earnings before the open: C, JPM, Tata Consultancy.
  • Fri Oct 13 – China imports/exports for Sept (Thurs night/Fri morning)
  • Fri Oct 13 – US CPI for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 13 – US retail sales for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 13 – US Michigan Sentiment for Oct. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 13 – US business inventories for Aug. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 13 – analyst meetings: SAFM
  • Fri Oct 13 – European trading updates: Man Group
  • Fri Oct 13 – earnings before the open: BAC, PNC, WFC
  • Mon Oct 16 – China CPI/PPI for Sept (Sun night/Mon morning)
  • Mon Oct 16 – Eurozone trade balance for Aug. 5amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – Eurozone Sept auto registrations. 2amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – German ZEW survey results for Oct. 5amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – US import prices for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – US industrial production for Sept. 9:15amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – US NAHB housing index for Oct. 10amET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US housing starts for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US building permits fro Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US Beige Book. 2pmET.
  • Thurs Oct 19 – China Q3 GDP and Sept retail sales, IP, and FAI (Wed night/Thurs morning)
  • Thurs Oct 19 – US Leading Index for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 20 – US existing home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Mon Oct 23 – US Chicago Fed Activity Index for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Oct 24 – Eurozone flash PMIs for Oct. 4amET.
  • Tues Oct 24 – US flash PMIs for Oct. 9:45amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US durable goods for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US FHFA home price index for Aug. 9amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US new home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US wholesale inventories for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US advance goods trade balance for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US pending home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 27 – US Q3 GDP, personal consumption, and core PCE for Q3. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 27 – US Michigan Confidence numbers for Oct. 10amET.

J.P. Morgan Market Intelligence is a product of the Institutional Equities Sales and Trading desk of J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and the intellectual property thereof. It is not a product of the Research Department and is intended for distribution to institutional and professional customers only and is not intended for retail customer use. It may not be reproduced, redistributed or transmitted, in whole or in part, without J.P. Morgan’s consent.

submitted by SIThereAndThere to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

JPM - Early Look at the Market – Thurs 9.28.17- **PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT**

PAY F FOR RESPECT FOR HUGH HEFNER

J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Thurs 9.28.17 Trading Desk Commentary; For Institutional Investors Only

PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT

Morning Levels

Trading Update

Top Headlines for Thursday

Calendar of events to watch for Mon Oct 2

Opinion/Interesting-but-not-immediately-impactful/intra-day boredom reading

Full catalyst list

  • Fri Sept 29 – China Caixin manufacturing PMI for Sept (Thurs night/Fri morning)
  • Fri Sept 29 – German jobs numbers for Sept. 3:55amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – Eurozone CPI for Sept. 5amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – US personal income/spending for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – US PCE for Aug. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – Chicago PMI for Sept. 9:45amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – Michigan Confidence for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Sept 29 – Fed speakers: Harker
  • Fri Sept 29 – analyst meetings: CMP
  • Sat Sept 30 – China NBS manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI for Sept (Fri night/Sat morning)
  • Mon Oct 2 – China mainland markets closed Mon 10/2-Fri 10/6 for the National Day holiday.
  • Mon Oct 2 – Eurozone manufacturing PMI for Sept. 4amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – Eurozone unemployment rate for Aug. 5amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – US manufacturing PMI for Sept. 9:45amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – US manufacturing ISM for Sept. 10amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – US construction spending for Aug. 10amET.
  • Mon Oct 2 – Fed speakers: Kaplan
  • Tues Oct 3 – Eurozone PPI for Aug. 5amET.
  • Tues Oct 3 – US auto sales for Sept.
  • Tues Oct 3 – analyst meetings: F/Ford (Ford CEO to host strategic update), INTU, NTAP, SHW
  • Tues Oct 3 – earnings before the open: PAYX, LEN
  • Tues Oct 3 – earnings after the close: IDT
  • Wed Oct 4 – Eurozone services PMI for Sept. 4amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – Eurozone retail sales for Aug. 5amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – RBI rate decision. 5amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – US ADP jobs report for Sept. 8:15amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – US services PMI for Sept. 9:45amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – US non-manufacturing ISM for Sept. 10amET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – Yellen delivers opening remarks at Community Banking conf. 3:15pmET.
  • Wed Oct 4 – analyst meetings: BWXT, BXP, MNK, TTD
  • Wed Oct 4 – earnings before the open: AYI, MON, PEP, RPM, Tesco PLC
  • Wed Oct 4 – earnings after the close: CAFD, RECN
  • Thurs Oct 5 – ECB meeting minutes. 7:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 5 – US factory orders and durable goods for Aug. 10amET.
  • Thurs Oct 5 – Fed speakers: Williams, Harker, George.
  • Thurs Oct 5 – analyst meetings: BKH, CLX, LUK, TWOU
  • Thurs Oct 5 – earnings before the open: ISCA, STZ=
  • Thurs Oct 5 – earnings after the close: COST, HELE, YUMC
  • Fri Oct 6 – German factory orders for Aug. 2amET.
  • Fri Oct 6 – US jobs report for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 6 – US wholesale inventories/trade sales for Aug. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 6 – US consumer credit for Aug. 3pmET.
  • Fri Oct 6 – Fed speakers: Bostic, Kaplan, Bullard
  • Sat Oct 7 – China FX reserves for Sept (Fri night/Sat morning)
  • Mon Oct 9 – China Caixin services PMI for Sept (Sun night/Mon morning)
  • Mon Oct 9 – German industrial production for Aug. 2amET.
  • Mon Oct 9 – Columbus Day holiday in the US (equities will be open while fixed income is closed).
  • Tues Oct 10 – German trade balance for Aug. 2amET.
  • Tues Oct 10 – analyst meetings: TECD, Santander, WDAY, WMT
  • Tues Oct 10 – PG shareholder meeting
  • Tues Oct 10 – earnings after the close: CUDA
  • Wed Oct 11 – US JOLTs report for Aug. 10amET.
  • Wed Oct 11 – Fed minutes from the Sept 20 meeting (2pmET).
  • Wed Oct 11 – analyst meetings: KR
  • Wed Oct 11 – earnings before the open: FAST
  • Thurs Oct 12 – Eurozone industrial production for Aug. 5amET.
  • Thurs Oct 12 – US PPI for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 12 – analyst meetings: BOX, HPQ
  • Thurs Oct 12 – earnings before the open: C, JPM, Tata Consultancy.
  • Thurs Oct 12 – earnings after the close: EXFO
  • Fri Oct 13 – China imports/exports for Sept (Thurs night/Fri morning)
  • Fri Oct 13 – US CPI for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 13 – US retail sales for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 13 – US Michigan Sentiment for Oct. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 13 – US business inventories for Aug. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 13 – analyst meetings: SAFM
  • Fri Oct 13 – European trading updates: Man Group
  • Fri Oct 13 – earnings before the open: BAC, PNC, WFC
  • Mon Oct 16 – China CPI/PPI for Sept (Sun night/Mon morning)
  • Mon Oct 16 – Eurozone trade balance for Aug. 5amET.
  • Mon Oct 16 – earnings before the open: SCHW
  • Mon Oct 16 – earnings after the close: NFLX, Rio Tinto
  • Tues Oct 17 – Eurozone Sept auto registrations. 2amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – German ZEW survey results for Oct. 5amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – US import prices for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – US industrial production for Sept. 9:15amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – US NAHB housing index for Oct. 10amET.
  • Tues Oct 17 – earnings before the open: CMA, CSX, GS, GWW, HOG, JNJ, UNH
  • Tues Oct 17 – earnings after the close: BHP, CP, CREE, IBM
  • Wed Oct 18 – US housing starts for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US building permits fro Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US Beige Book. 2pmET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – earnings before the open: ABT, MTB, USB
  • Wed Oct 18 – earnings after the close: AXP, SLG
  • Thurs Oct 19 – China Q3 GDP and Sept retail sales, IP, and FAI (Wed night/Thurs morning)
  • Thurs Oct 19 – US Leading Index for Sept. 10amET.
  • Thurs Oct 19 – earnings before the open: ADS, BBT, DHR, GPC, KEY, PM, PPG, TRV, TXT, VZ
  • Fri Oct 20 – US existing home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 20 – earnings before the open: BHGE, CFG, GE, SLB, STI, SYF.
  • Mon Oct 23 – China Sept property prices (Sun night/Mon morning).
  • Mon Oct 23 – US Chicago Fed Activity Index for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Oct 24 – Eurozone flash PMIs for Oct. 4amET.
  • Tues Oct 24 – US flash PMIs for Oct. 9:45amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US durable goods for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US FHFA home price index for Aug. 9amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US new home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US wholesale inventories for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US advance goods trade balance for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US pending home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 27 – China Sept industrial profits (Thurs night/Fri morning).
  • Fri Oct 27 – US Q3 GDP, personal consumption, and core PCE for Q3. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 27 – US Michigan Confidence numbers for Oct. 10amET.
**J.P. Morgan Market Intelligence is a product of the Institutional Equities Sales and Trading desk of J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and the intellectual property thereof. It is not a product of the Research Department and is intended for distribution to institutional and professional customers only and is not intended for retail customer use. It may not be reproduced, redistributed or transmitted, in whole or in part, without J.P. Morgan’s consent. Any unauthorized use is strictly prohibited.**
submitted by SIThereAndThere to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Mon 10.16.17 - **PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT**

J.P. Morgan Early Look at the Market – Mon 10.16.17

SEC DISCLAMIER: PLEASE DO NOT FORWARD THIS DOCUMENT

Morning Levels

Trading Update

Top Headlines for Monday

Catalysts – big events to watch over the coming months

Full catalyst list

  • Wed Oct 18 – Fed speakers: Dudley, Kaplan.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US housing starts for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US building permits for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – US Beige Book. 2pmET.
  • Wed Oct 18 – earnings before the open: ABT, Akzo Nobel, ASML, MTB, MTG, NTRS, Reckitt Benckiser, SVU, USB
  • Wed Oct 18 – earnings after the close: AA, AXP, BDN, BHE, BXS, CCI, CCK, EBAY, GHL, HXL, KALU, LLNW, SLG, SLM, STLD, TCBI, URI.
  • Thurs Oct 19 – China Q3 GDP and Sept retail sales, IP, and FAI (Wed night/Thurs morning)
  • Thurs Oct 19 – US Leading Index for Sept. 10amET.
  • Thurs Oct 19 – earnings before the open: ADS, BBT, BK, BX, DGX, DHR, DOV, GPC, KEY, Nestle, NUE, Pernod Ricard, Philips Lighting, PM, PPG, Publicis, RCI, Roche, SAP, SNA, SON, Thales, TRV, TSMC, TXT, Unilever, VZ, WBC, WGO.
  • Thurs Oct 19 – earnings after the close: ASB, ATHN, ETFC, ISRG, LHO, MXIM, NCR, PBCT, PFPT, PYPL, WDFC, WERN.
  • Fri Oct 20 – BOJ’s Kuroda speaks. 2:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 20 – US existing home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 20 – Yellen speaks to National Economists Club in Washington. 7:15pmET.
  • Fri Oct 20 – earnings before the open: Assa Abloy, BHGE, CFG, CLF, Daimler, DST, GE, GNTX, HON, InterContinental Hotels, KSU, MAN, PG, SLB, STI, SYF, TomTom, Volvo.
  • Mon Oct 23 – China Sept property prices (Sun night/Mon morning).
  • Mon Oct 23 – US Chicago Fed Activity Index for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Mon Oct 23 – earnings before the open: HAL, HAS, ITW, KMB, LII, Philips, STT, STX, VFC
  • Mon Oct 23 – earnings after the close: ARNC, CR, JBT, OI, ZION.
  • Tues Oct 24 – Eurozone flash PMIs for Oct. 4amET.
  • Tues Oct 24 – ECB bank lending survey. 4amET.
  • Tues Oct 24 – US flash PMIs for Oct. 9:45amET.
  • Tues Oct 24 – earnings before the open: AMTD, Anglo American, BASF, BIIB, CAT, CLB, CNC, CVLT, ETR, Fiat Chrysler, FITB, GLW, GM, INFY, IPG, LLY, LMT, MAS, MCD, MMM, Novartis, PCAR, PHM, PNR, R, RF, SAH, SHW, SWK, UTX, WAT, WDR.
  • Tues Oct 24 – earnings after the close: AKAM, AMP, AXS, Canadian National Railway, CMG, COF, CYBE, DFS, ESRX, HLI, IRBT, IRM, MANH, NUVA, RGC, T, TSS, TXN.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US durable goods for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US FHFA home price index for Aug. 9amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – US new home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – Bank of Canada rate decision. 10amET.
  • Wed Oct 25 – Brazilian rate decision (after the close).
  • Wed Oct 25 – earnings before the open: ALK, ALLY, ANTM, Antofagasta, AOS, APH, BA, BAX, BTU, Capgemini, Dassault Systemes, DPS, FCX, FLIR, Fresnillo, HBAN, Heineken, IP, IR, KO, LEA, LH, Lloyds Banking Group, NDAQ, NSC, NYCB, OC, Peugeot, SIRI, SLAB, TMO, TUP, V, WBA, WEC, WYN.
  • Wed Oct 25 – earnings after the close: ABX, ACGL, AFL, AMGN, CA, CLGX, DLR, FFIV, FNF, FTI, KIM, LSTR, MC, MLNX, NOW, NXPI, ORLY, PKG, PLXS, RJF, SSNC, TSCO, TYL, UNM, VAR, WCN, XLNX.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – Riksbank decision. 3:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – ECB rate decision. 7:45amET press release, 8:30amET press conf.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US wholesale inventories for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US advance goods trade balance for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – US pending home sales for Sept. 10amET.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – earnings before the open: ABB, ABX, Aixtron, ALLE, ALV, Anheuser Busch, APD, Bayer, BEN, BMS, BMY, BSX, BWA, CCMP, CELG, CHTR, CMCSA, CME, COP, Deutsche Bank, ENTG, EQT, EXLS, F, GNC, HLT, HSY, LUV, MMC, MKC, NEM, Nokia, OAK, ODFL, PX, Santander, Schneider Electric, SPGI, STM, TWTR, UNP, UPS, VC, VNTV, WM, XEL, XRX.
  • Thurs Oct 26 – earnings after the close: AIV, ATEN, CB, CDNS, CENX, CLS, EXPE, FLEX, FTNT, FTV, GILD, GOOG, HIG, INTC, LPLA, MAT, MSFT, NATI, PFG, PRO, SGEN, SIVB, SYK, VDSI, VRSN.
  • Fri Oct 27 – China Sept industrial profits (Thurs night/Fri morning).
  • Fri Oct 27 – US Q3 GDP, personal consumption, and core PCE for Q3. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Oct 27 – US Michigan Confidence numbers for Oct. 10amET.
  • Fri Oct 27 – earnings before the open: B, MRK, PSX, SC, TRU, Volkswagen, WY, XOM.
  • Mon Oct 30 – US personal income/spending and PCE for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Mon Oct 30 – US Dallas Fed index for Oct. 10:30amET.
  • Mon Oct 30 – analyst meetings: CSX
  • Mon Oct 30 – earnings before the open: HSBC
  • Mon Oct 30 – earnings after the close: AVB, CGNX, RE, RTEC, VNO
  • Tues Oct 31 – BOJ rate decision (Mon night/Tues morning).
  • Tues Oct 31 – US Employment Cost Index for Q3. 8:30amET.
  • Tues Oct 31 – US Case-Shiller home price index for Aug. 9amET.
  • Tues Oct 31 – US Chicago PMI for Oct. 9:45amET.
  • Tues Oct 31 – US Conference Board Sentiment readings for Oct. 10amET.
  • Tues Oct 31 – earnings before the open: ADM, AET, Airbus, AMT, Barclays, BNP, CMI, ECL, FIS, GGP, K, MA, OSK, PFE, XYL.
  • Tues Oct 31 – earnings after the close: APC, CHRW, CXO, PLT, WFT, X
  • Wed Nov 1 – US ADP jobs report for Oct. 8:15amET.
  • Wed Nov 1 – US Markit Manufacturing PMI for Oct. 9:45amET.
  • Wed Nov 1 – US Manufacturing ISM for Oct. 10amET.
  • Wed Nov 1 – US construction spending report for Sept. 10amET.
  • Wed Nov 1 – US auto sales for Oct.
  • Wed Nov 1 – FOMC meeting decision. 2pmET.
  • Wed Nov 1 – earnings before the open: AGN, APO, CEVA, CLX, EL, GRMN, HFC, LFUS, Novo Nordisk, ORBK, Standard Chartered, TAP, TRI.
  • Wed Nov 1 – earnings after the close: ALL, BHF, BXP, CACI, CAVM, CSGS, EGOV, FB, LNC, MANT, MET, MUSA, OXY, PRU, QCOM, ULTI, XPO.
  • Thurs Nov 2 – BOE rate decision. 8amET.
  • Thurs Nov 2 – US nonfarm productivity and unit labor costs for Q3. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Nov 2 – earnings before the open: ADP, AN, BCE, CI, Credit Suisse, DISCA, H, ICE, LDOS, Royal Dutch Shell, Sanofi, Swiss Re, WRK.
  • Thurs Nov 2 – earnings after the close: AAPL, AIG, ATVI, CBS, CRUS, FLR, HLF, JCOM, RMAX, SBUX, UNIT.
  • Fri Nov 3 – US jobs report for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Nov 3 – US trade balance for Sept. 8:30amET.
  • Fri Nov 3 – US factory orders and durable goods orders for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Nov 3 – US non-manufacturing ISM for Oct. 10amET.
  • Mon Nov 6 – Fed’s Dudley speaks at The Economist Club of New York.
  • Tues Nov 7 – RBA rate decision. Mon night/Tues morning.
  • Tues Nov 7 – US JOLTs jobs report for Sept. 10amET.
  • Tues Nov 7 – US consumer credit for Sept. 3pmET.
  • Thurs Nov 9 – US wholesale trade sales/inventories for Sept. 10amET.
  • Fri Nov 10 – US Michigan Confidence preliminary numbers for Nov. 10amET.
  • Tues Nov 14 – US PPI for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Nov 15 – US CPI for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Nov 15 – US Empire Manufacturing for Nov. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Nov 15 – US retail sales for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Nov 15 – US business inventories for Sept. 10amET.
  • Thurs Nov 16 – US import prices for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Thurs Nov 16 – US industrial production for Oct. 9:15amET.
  • Thurs Nov 16 – US NAHB housing index for Nov. 10amET.
  • Fri Nov 17 – US housing starts and building permits for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Mon Nov 20 – US Leading Index for Oct. 10amET.
  • Tues Nov 21 – US existing home sales for Oct. 10amET.
  • Wed Nov 22 – US durable goods for Oct. 8:30amET.
  • Wed Nov 22 – US final Michigan Confidence numbers for Nov. 10amET.
  • Wed Nov 22 – FOMC 11/1 meeting minutes. 2pmET.
  • Fri Nov 24 – US flash PMIs for Nov. 9:45amET.
J.P. Morgan Market Intelligence is a product of the Institutional Equities Sales and Trading desk of J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and the intellectual property thereof. It is not a product of the Research Department and is intended for distribution to institutional and professional customers only and is not intended for retail customer use. It may not be reproduced, redistributed or transmitted, in whole or in part, without J.P. Morgan’s consent. Any unauthorized use is strictly prohibited.
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ASEAN Countries and Crypto: Yay or Nay?


Source

Just two months ago, Writer Angaindrankumar Gnanasagaran summarised the latest policies and attitudes Southeast Asia had towards blockchain technology in an article titled Blockchain gaining ground in Southeast Asia, featured on The Asean Post. He reported that blockchain technology has “gained significant currency in Southeast Asia [as] many governments within the region have warmed up to the prospect of promoting the integration of this technology into businesses and the public sector”.
Just how true is this progression? Let’s have a look.

Philippines

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On 8th August last year, the government-owned Cagayan Economic Zone Authority (CEZA) announced its latest partnership with private property developer Northern Star Gaming & Resorts Inc. – the development of Crypto Valley of Asia, a fintech and cryptocurrency hub set to be built on the Cagayan Special Economic Zone and Freeport, and intended to house up to 25 crypto firms on its premise.
A few months later in October, Ateneo de Manila University and health-tech company MediXserve jointly launched the AMBERLab (Ateneo-MediXserve Blockchain Education & Reasearch Lab) to research future applications of blockchain in health-tech, fintech, edutech, Artificial Intelligence (AI), data analytics and other related industries.
This year, about a week ago on 7 February, The Philippines, through the Cagayan Economic Zone Authority (CEZA), approved the Digital Asset Token Offering (DATO) regulations that recognises CEZA as the principal regulating authority and The Asia Blockchain and Crypto Association (ABACA) as the designated self-regulatory organization (SRO) that will implement and enforce the new DATO regulations.
The rules are simple. All DATOs must submit proper documentation, providing details on the issuer, project, advisors, and certificates of experts and DA agents involved. Tokens can only be listed on licensed Offshore Virtual Currency Exchange (OVCE) and stakeholders must submit appropriate documentation with accredited wallet providers and custodians.
The regulations also classify DATO into three tiers:
Tier 1: Assets and investments ≤ $5M with payment in digital tokens
Tier 2: Assets and investments from $6M to $10M
Tier 3: Assets and investments ≥ $10M
Clearly, unlike its vague position last year, the Philippines has been gearing up for blockchain technology and has implemented new measures as a result to regulate the wave of digital tokens crashing into the local market. One of the largest banks, UnionBank of Philippines, even announced on 11 February that it plans to launch an ATM that will facilitate digital assets trade in the national currency, the Philippine Pesos. If the Philippines keeps up this optimistic outlook, she may just fulfil her vision of being the Crypto Valley of Asia.

Thailand

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If the Philippines seems supportive towards cryptocurrency, then Thailand is definitely a crypto wonderland. While others were still grappling to understand the blockchain technology and its idiosyncrasies, Thailand was quick to jump on the crypto train in 2018. Within the span of a few months, the Thai government enacted the emergency decree that allowed it to roll out a new law for the budding blockchain industry: the Digital Asset Business Decree.
This decree differs from other countries by skipping the core debate that demanded the differentiation between security tokens in cryptocurrency. Instead, it classifies cryptocurrencies as “a medium of exchanging goods” and digital tokens as “rights to participate in an investment, or to receive specific goods”. It even amended its tax regulations to include the taxation of cryptocurrency firms. For instance, firms raising funds through Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) will be taxed 15% on their income while others undertaking Initial Public Offering are not. The two laws went effective as of 14 May 2018 and set the standard for other countries delving into the blockchain industry.
Now, at the time of writing, the Thai securities and exchange commission (SEC) has granted four operating licenses to applications from blockchain-based businesses applying for licenses to conduct local operations. The four applicants who were successfully awarded a license are: Bitcoin Exchange Co., Ltd., Bitkub Online Co., Ltd., Satang Corporation, and Coins TH Co., Ltd. The former three are digital asset exchanges, while the latter is a cryptocurrency brokerage.
That being said, Thailand’s friendliness towards the crypto trade is not to be mistaken with leniency or a laxation in security measures. While the above four were granted operating licenses, two other applications from Cash2coin and Southeast Asia Digital Exchange Co. (SEADEX) were rejected, having failed to meet the required criteria set out by the SEC.Thailand’s intention to retain a tight grip on the cryptocurrency industry is a smart move on the country’s part as news of cryptocurrency scams continue to flood the market. In November last year, Thai regulators even released their own web-based platform to host potential ICOs, ensuring the country is kept up with the latest projects in the cryptocurrency industry. The reason behind this scrutiny has been speculated by some to be Thailand’s way of conducting research and accumulating data in order to release a national cryptocurrency in time.

Indonesia

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In late 2017, the central bank of Indonesia, Bank Indonesia declared cryptocurrency to be illegal in the country under the Law No. 7/2011 and penned the BI Regulation, stating all financial transactions had to be conducted in the Indonesia rupiah. Yet, despite the bank’s firm opposition against these digital fledglings, it is clear to the world that the Indonesia government does not share its skepticism. On 3 June 2018, Beppebti, the Indonesian Trade Ministry’s Futures Exchange Supervisory Boards legalised cryptocurrencies as commodities in the country in spite of the central bank’s disapproval, making cryptocurrency trade legal in the eyes of the government. In fact, Indonesia Digital Asset Exchange (INDODAX) — the largest Indonesian cryptocurrency exchange — announced in March 2018 that the number of users on its platform had surpassed that of the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
While the bank remains vehement in its denial of cryptocurrency, the local citizens have embraced it. Indonesian media company Coinvestasi has organised the Indonesia Cryptocurrency Festival 2019 that is currently in the midst of its tour across various cities, sparking the conversation about cryptocurrency nationwide.

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Roadshow Timeline of Coinfest Indonesia 2019
Unfortunately, due to the nation’s vague stance, the local Bitcoin market holds less than one percent of the global cryptocurrency market, with only two Indonesia Bitcoin exchanges available for Bitcoin purchases at a fixed rate.

Malaysia

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2019 brings new beginnings and new regulations for digital asset offerings in Malaysia. Based on a notice from Malaysia’s Securities Commission (SC), the Capital Markets and Services (Prescription of Securities) (Digital Currency and Digital Token) Order 2019 has been enacted since Jan. 15.The Order meant that token offerings and exchanges are required to seek approval from SC before operations can begin. However, despite Malaysia’s strict clampdown on ICOs, it appears that the country is not adverse to digital assets after all. Finance Minister Lim Guan Eng stated: “In particular, we believe digital assets have a role to play as an alternative fundraising avenue for entrepreneurs and new businesses, and an alternate asset class for investors.”In December last year, the SC and Malaysia’s central bank, Bank Negara Malaysia, jointly released a statement explaining that the purpose of these new regulations was to make digital assets “within the remit of securities laws to promote fair and orderly trading and ensure investor protection.”

Singapore

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Singapore has always embraced the potential of digital assets and its ability to transform the future. In November 2017, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) released the Payment Services Bill (PSB) in the Singaporean Parliament. In essence, the Bill subjected digital currency to the same laws regulating domestic and international money transfers, and foreign exchange transactions. The MAS also released a set of guidelines for parties interested titled “A guide to digital token offerings”. The document listed on their website contained general advice on application procedures and rules for companies to be legally qualified in offering and issuing digital tokens in Singapore. When confronted with security breaches in major cryptocurrency exchanges, MAS updated their Bill in January 2019 to safeguard the interests of cryptocurrency investors. The Bill proposes to implement a dual-track regulatory guideline for both major and smaller financial institutions respectively.

In summary…
While countries like Philippines, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia and especially Singapore embrace the future of cryptocurrency, other ASEAN countries continue to sit on the fence regarding digital currency. Vietnam remains undecided, as evident from the confusing debates wranged out amongst authorities and the ban on crypto trading despite possession of digital assets being legal. Laos approaches digital currencies with caution and Cambodia has ironically forbade finance firms from cryptocurrency transactions while creating its own national cryptocurrency. Other countries like Myanmar and Brunei continue to distance themselves from the world of digital assets and remain vague on their policies and governance.
Despite the uncertainty, however, ASEAN is clearly becoming an important market for traders of digital assets. As digital assets continue to gain prominence within the region, what better way to jump into the crypto market than with 1SG, a fiat-backed stablecoin pegged to Singapore’s own fiat currency, the Singapore Dollar?
About 1SG:1SG is a stable coin, issued by the Mars Blockchain Group which overcomes the problems of today’s cryptocurrencies, while providing open, transparent, efficient KYC/AML process. With the key features of stable value and high liquidity, Mars Blockchain is a start-up committed to becoming a leading stable coin in global cryptocurrency market. 1SG circumvents the volatility of other major cryptocurrencies by maintaining a fixed peg to $1 SGD through financial markets.For more details, check out www.1.sgTo trade 1SG now, head over to these exchange platforms:P2PB2B: https://p2pb2b.io/BitMart: https://www.bitmart.com/TOP.ONE: https://top.one/indexKryptono: https://kryptono.exchange/k/homeOEX: https://www.oex.com/indexFor more information on 1SG, keep up with its following social media:Telegram: https://t.me/SGoneReddit: https://www.reddit.com/use1-SG/Twitter: https://twitter.com/1SG_2018Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/1sg_sg/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC_p_8y1geOe0lmB4F3i6Fpg
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FOR THOSE NOT IN US. CSPAN-3 hearing BITCOIN

Right now, Senator Tom Carper is giving an introduction into what bitcoin can be used to buy. He mentioned buying all goods but specifically spoke of drugs, weapons, and how it can be used to exploit children.
Carper mentioned how the silk road was taken down in a joint effort by the CIA, FBI and dept. of Homeland security.
WILL CONTINUE UPDATING
BITCOIN TIP: public address- 1AkF4HaJrJzXVYuSxifwLUWNEwhbGv5sXu
3:10 EST: jennifer Shasky calvery- Treasury Department - Financial Crimes Mythili Ramen (head of the Dept. of Justic Crimnal Division) Edward Lowry- special agent in charge of criminal investigation division
3:13 EST - jennifer Shasky calvery statement. 'Recognizing new payment methods must keep pace with laws against money laundering and illegal money transfers. Users of virtual currencies don't have transaction limits, is secure, can be used for money laundering. Illicit actors use virtual currencies in order to launder money, enable drug trafficking and move child abuse forward.
For businesses, complying with Federal laws is good for the business integrity.
Bringing virtual currencies into regulation will be positive for the US financial system.
3:20 EST: Mythili Raman
Virtual currencies are viewed through the lens of crimnal activity. Criminals will always look for new ways to hide their crimes. The criminal division's main aim is to reduce the ability of criminals to use virtual currencies for illegal activity.
Virtual currencies (as long as the comply with laws) are not illegal. They can be convenient for consumers because they are quick. These same currencies can also be used by criminals for drugs, weapon sales, and child pornography.
In 2007 - EGOLD moved 6 million dollars per day which may have been used for sale of drugs and child pornograpgy
When virtual currencies fail to live up to their Financial Laws, the Justice division will come after them.
Silk road- the largest online marketplace for illegal substances accepts BITCOINs exclusively for payment. When silk road was shut down, the US sized upwards of 70 million dollars from the silk road website.
The US justice department is encouraged by virtual currencies reaching out to comply with FINCEN's laws. (Financial Crimes. Enforcement Network)
3:27 EST- Edward Lowry Digital currencies have continually grown over the past 17 years. Since Criminals and other illegal organizations use virtual currencies such as E-gold and Liberty reserve for illegal operations
As FINCEN emphasized, digital currency exchanges MUST comply with money laundering laws.
The secret service has successfully found and arrested leaders of illegal organizations whom use digital currencies to fund their activities.
Digital currencies are tools used by a wide variety of criminals. The secret service and ICE (immigration and customs enforcement) cooperate with FINCEN in order to find criminals who use virtual currencies for money laundering.
3:34 EST Sen. Tom Caper Asks about the early days of virtual currencies as well as what the future holds for future currencies.
3:35 EST- Jennifer Shasky Calvery When there is a new "player" in the currency industries, most people think about the gaps that will exist in the market and how criminals will use it for illegal activity. Moving forward with change is very important though, so regulation is necessary.
3:36 EST- Mythili Ramen Virtual currencies are not illegal as long as they comply with money laundering laws. The Criminal division needs to be vigilant towards virtual currencies in order to make sure they actively attempt to comply with laws.
3:38 EST -Edward Lowry The secret service's hallmark is to adopt their defenses to an ever changing threat.
3:39 EST- Sen. Tom Carper "what roll does the legislative body need in order to combat the dark side of this technology?"
3:41 EST - Edward Lowry Device fraud- today anyone in the world can reach anyone else in the world. This has changed how ICE and the secret service must combat illegal activity.
making his case for more money to his department
3:42 EST- Sen. Tom Carper - Can Law enforcement keep up with the changing technology?"
3:44 EST- Mythili Ramen Liberty reserve was taken down in a coordinated arrest done by the US branches joined with other governments. The ability of the criminal division is evolving just as much as criminal activity is evolving.
3:47 EST- jennifer Shasky calvery Congress passing the Bank secrecy act. in 2011, the justice dept needed flexibility in order to combat digital currencies. With the USA patriot act sec 311, gives FINCEN the authority to name a foreign entity as using money laundering, and thus cut off from the US market.
3:49 EST- Sen. Tom Carper - "Give examples of how virtual currencies have worked out for the good"
3:50 EST- jennifer Shasky calvery
Online banking and ACH (picture deposit) makes money exchange much easier for the consumer. But with each of these, we had to think about how criminals could exploit it.
"CASH IS STILL THE BEST MEANS FOR LAUNDERING MONEY" - jennifer Shasky calvery
3:52 EST- Sen. Tom Carper " Do you see gaps in our legislation regarding virtual currencies?"
3:53 EST- Edward Lowry
The secret service recognizes that the high level cyber criminals HAVE NOT moved towards P2P currencies such as bitcoin. Many high-level criminals use centralized online currencies based in places with less regulatory laws.
3:54 EST- Sen. Tom Carper "Which agencies need to be at the forefront of recognizing virtual currencies"
3:55 EST- Mythili Ramen The FBI, DEA, OFAC, IRS are necessary participators but are already participators. The National crime agency in the UK has also participated. The Criminal division invites any other entities for help in identifying emerging threats and what governments can do about them
Currently, the criminal statutes used thus far have been effective. The substantive criminal statute, murder statute, and money laundering statutes have already been used to prosecute criminals that use virtual currencies.
Many updates to laws can still be made.
3:59 EST- Sen. Tom Carper The JAO reports with the help of the IRS on "tax gap." 100's of millions of dollars in taxes that are owed to the treasury. The number is going down over the past 10 years
In may of this year, "virtual currencies could prevent a real vulnerability in the current system."
Question, "do you know the current guidance of that status?"
4:02 EST- Jennifer Shasky Calvery
FINCEN, once it collects financial data, disseminates the information to law enforcement. This is not only for taxes but also for evidence against criminals.
The JAO and FINCEN are working diligently to modify tax laws to incorporate virtual currencies.
The focus of FINCEN is to combat illegal use of virtual currencies while still within U.S laws. Conveniently, many of the laws are very flexible.
4:06 EST- Sen. Tom Carper After the SILK ROAD shut down, many have popped up in its place. "How do we combat these websites?"
4:07 EST- Edward Lowry
We believe there are 3 infrastructures in place. The SILK ROAD forums, the digital currencies (those which fall outside of the guidance of FINCEN), and "bulletproof hosting" -an organization that provides web hosting to anyone with servers in countries with little regulation.
4:09 EST- Mythili Ramen
The main problem is anonymity. The criminal division has created tools and strategies to combat this. (not said) but this is the TOR javascript exploit We have been successful in combating criminals who use anonymity to continue illegal activity.
4:10 EST- Sen. Tom Carper
Bitcoin and virtual currencies may move overseas to countries with less regulatory agencies. What can we do to combat this? How do we make business stay in the US?
4:12 EST-jennifer Shasky Calvery
Bitcoin is going to be a big player in the future of the exchange of goods and services. The financial action task force does a good job at making the countries around the world comply with regulatory laws.
4:15 EST - Mythili Ramen
This hearing is important for the law agencies because talking about these problems is not easy. Virtual currencies in of themselves are not illegal. Innovation is important. Just as criminals have done for ages, this is just another means for illegal activity. We need to stay vigilant in keeping pace with evolving virtual currencies.
4:17 EST- Edward Lowry The secret service will continue to work strategically to remove the gravest structures to the [US] infrastructure. We are going to have to adopt and jump over hurdles but we will work with foreign partners to make this happen. We will continue to work as a part of DHS to eliminate these threats. We believe that aggressive acts by law enforcement will benefit the world as a whole
4:18 EST-Jennifer Shasky Calvery
I heard a CEO of a fairly large bank say, "having the privilege to be a part of the financial industry comes with great responsibility. While innovation is a wonderful thing, it does come with obligations to become part of the US financial system. Regulation in place have help in minimizing the risk and the burden. We ask that businesses do this, put in place AML protections, register with FINCEN, maintain records (including suspicious reports)
We believe that these requests are reasonable because these currencies have already been used for illicit activity.
4:21 EST- Sen. Tom Carper
"This has been a thought provoking and encouraging discussion"
"It's not true We have to choose between a stronger economy and a clean environment"
"Is it possible to reap the benefits of this virtual currencies while still being able to clean up criminal activity?"
-RECESS- and change of panel
4:28 EST Introduction by Sen. Tom Carper Ernie Allen- Centre for missing & Exploited children Patrick Murck-General council of BITCOIN foundation Jerry Brito-Senior researcher of Technology at George Mason university. Jeremy Allaire- Circle Internet Financial CEO
4:30 EST- Ernie Allen Our goal is to bring people together to protect the digital economy while combating its misuse. We are excited for digital currencies to give "banking" to adults all over the world. Our concern today is the use of digital currencies in child pornography. Most countries have not added regulation to digital currencies.
Over the past year, I have consulted financial experts of this issue. Child pornography is being created and disseminated by using anatomizing technologies and virtual currencies.
Freedom hosting was shut down by law enforcement by penetrating a loophole in freedom hosting's servers which gave users identities away.
Most of the arrests of those using anonymous networks are of those who are misusing the network. Because of this, we believe that we are not catching the high-level criminals who are using these networks.
We can press for global cooperation to solve these problems. Digital currencies move from nation to nation.
We need to address the core problem which is internet anonymity. An environment in which child exploiters can thrive and not be caught should not be allowed.
Anonymity allows illegal activity, but also acts to give a voice to those against oppressive regimes.
4:39 EST- Patrick Murck There is no single bitcoin company that manages the value of bitcoin or the trade of bitcoins.
Bitcoin is like email for money. It is secure any completely transparent. Bitcoin can operate without 3rd parties.
Financial exclusion is a problem for the US. There is a rising tide of un-banked people within our borders. Bitcoin can help move people from a trapped economy to a globally connected economy.
Just like any currency, bitcoin can be used for illegal activity. It is no easier to commit crime with bitcoin then it is with any other currency.
Keeping the bitcoin network safe is all of out opportunity. When the SILK ROAD was shut down, the bitcoin community was excited.
Bitcoin is not some magical cloaking device that allows criminals free reign. The use of bitcoins is not un-regulated. The exchanges have a deep understanding of how to effectively allow users to trade bitcoin with fiat currencies.
Bitcoin exchanges- "If you give us clear rules, we will work to abide by them"
We would like to thank FINCEN to opening up the dialog about bitcoin. The bitcoin foundation looks forward to continuing in this dialog with the government and the public.
4:47 EST- Jeremy Allaire
As bitcoin moves into mainstream acceptance, it is important that governments fully understand how to include bitcoin into existing laws.
Bitcoin allows innovation in currency, exchange, and payment that many other currencies cannot offer. Much of our current infrastructure for finances has existed before the internet was invented.
It is a risk if the government doesn't support businesses that want to use bitcoins. Such businesses may be encouraged to move offshore.
The U.S. falls behind in this critical economic innovation. A bitcoin exchange in CHINA has become the single largest currency exchange in the world . We need to be open and evolving.
4:53 EST Jerry Brito
From facebook credit to world of warcraft gold, Virtual currencies are nothing new.
Prior to Bitcoins invention in 2009, all virtual currencies needed to be exchanged through an intermediary.
Emerging technologies allow great benefits but great risks. 3-d printers revolutionize personal creation, but also creation of guns.
While Bitcoin transactions don't need intermediaries, many exchanges can still convert government currency to bitcoins.
Criminals are more likely to use centralized currencies because they can lie about how much money has been moved. Currencies such the bitcoin infrastructure show every transaction that happens.
The U.S. could loose it's headstart on an emerging economy if it chooses to create strong regulatory laws.
4:59 EST- Sen. Tom Carper
"Where is the general agreement on the panel, and if not, how can we make agreement?"
5:00 EST- Ernie Allen There is clear agreement that we can't just ignore the misuse, and that the misuse jeopardizes the currency in the long run.
5:02 EST Patrick Murck
There is a real need to create on ramps into the traditional economic system. The biggest obstacle to that happening is the ability of businesses to get bank accounts in the current system, even a checking account.
If you have the word "bitcoin" anywhere around you, your file will be cast aside.
5:04 EST- Jeremy Allaire
Anonymity needs to be addressed in some way
POST IS TOO LONG, LINK TO PART II
http://www.reddit.com/Bitcoin/comments/1qxgc9/for_those_not_in_us_cspan3_hearing_bitcoin/
submitted by hand_jibber to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Air

2018 have been such a refreshing year when it comes to emerging cryptoprojects and the level of innovation they introduce. Gone are the stupid infographics trying to solidify Coin-X as the highest amount of transactions per second (who cares?).

Instead there seems to be a steady influx of new projects with developers who are innovating for real.

A couple of months back I stumbled across Haven Protocol which caused me to write my first crypto-article ever, fast forward a month-or-so and the first fork of Haven, Bitcoin Air, was quietly announced.

Now many initially dismissed Bitcoin Air as nothing but a Haven Protocol clone, but that is a severe misjudgement. I’ve been lucky enough to follow the development of this project from the inside for a while, and I’ve witnessed first hand that this project has set its sight on introducing a host of new features to the world of cryptocurrencies.

In this Q&A with Bitcoin Air’s Lead Dev, Anthony, I get answers to a lot of questions that should give a good understanding about what Bitcoin Air is aiming to accomplish.

Enjoy.

First of all, how would you summarise what Bitcoin Air is all about for someone who reads about it for the first time?

The first thing we want people to think of when they see, hear, or speak “Bitcoin Air” is simplicity and transparency.
The reason for this being, cryptocurrency is this currently ecstatic and mysterious world that a lot of people are afraid to dive into due to these unknowns. When someone approaches Bitcoin Air, we want them to understand that we are a lightweight, secure, and decentralized payment system that also ofers a static crypto-backed reserves system that allows for a user to print their own fiat currency (AirCash).
In layman’s terms, we want to give the power of the Mint, Reserve, and Banking System all to the consumer and merchant!
What sparked the idea for the project we now know as Bitcoin Air?

The idea for Bitcoin Air was sparked from a protocol concept originally designed by the administrative team. The main idea coming from the fact that Bitcoin is subject to high volatility, and Tether is both manipulatable and a separate entity from what should be a joint efort for Bitcoin.
Beyond this, we feel the need to bring cryptocurrency to a form of widespread acceptance through applying modern technology to age old tactics of in person payments. This will of course be accompanied by all of the amazing features that come with cryptocurrency and it’s secure nature.
The Bitcoin Air project is a fork of Haven, how essential has the Haven teams work been for your concept and project development?

Haven Protocol’s work hasn’t been significant in our development. Their initial idea was sparked to allow users to “offshore” their value to a secure storage environment in some different country.
This idea, to our team, seemed unapproachable and limited it’s greatest potential. We followed through with the idea of offshoring, and instead made it far more approachable and adaptable and instead of creating an internal contract system, devised a bilateral blockchain system that will operate as a dual auditing blockchain.
How would you differentiate what Bitcoin Air will be, compared to Haven, what are your most obvious differences between the two?

Haven Protocol is based on an internal smart contract system that will offshore the value of your coins to a safe storage environment, this will allow you to mint and burn between Haven Protocol and XHVD, safely offshoring your value from volatility.
Bitcoin Air is a bilateral blockchain that will allow one end of the chain to operate in volatile value and conduct basic cryptocurrency transactions including sending and receiving through any basic exchange as well as our internal wallet exchange. The second side of the chain will operate in static value and will operate as a crypto-backed reserve chain for Bitcoin Air.
This static chain will have strictly mint and burn protocols that will allow the creation of Bitcoin Air or AirCash. This static side chain will not allow person to person sends and will instead be specifically designed as a reserves and fiat system for day to day use.
How many developers are actively contributing to your project now?

Currently we have over 8 active developers working around the clock on establishing our test net, minimum viable product, and a proof of concept design that can be presented to the public.
The goal is to operate our development much like an ICO without intentions of gathering funding from the public. We are a privately funded, Non-ICO, Non-VC funded development backed by a handful of guys who simply are very in tune with the cryptocurrency community.
We hope to deliver a well-rounded and established development for the people.
Is there any field in which you are looking for contributions from the community, if so, what are these?

We are always open to as much community contribution as possible. We are 110% focused on community input and transparency and that goes down to every vote and choice we have.
Ultimately we feel that a larger consensus brings the greatest discussions to a situation along with calculated execution. This being said, we are opening an Ambassadors and Evangelists Program that will operate much like a permanent bounty hunters program.
Top level representatives from all countries can apply and voice their expertise on why they should be an Ambassador for Bitcoin Air. This will in turn gain them access to the private Ambassador Panel where they can participate in tasks to earn monthly points for payouts based on worth ethic! Additionally, we are always open to community open-source developers who seek some lead into the cryptocurrency world.
We are always thrilled to teach and learn from other professional development teams as we are seeking to develop the most community driven coin of 2019!
Is the launch of the Bitcoin Air and the air protocol in any way dependant on the Haven teams Offshore Storage smart contracts. Will you have to wait until they release this feature or is the work on the Air Protocol completely independent of that effort?

We are in no way tied to the Haven Protocol development and are developing our own dual chain protocol that will not use smart contracts.
What we hope through our fork with Haven Protocol, is to allow a transition/bridge in between USDAP and XHVD that will bridge both the privacy and clear coin chains to allow for a user based choice of chain use.
We feel privacy is important, but not necessary thanks to the secure nature of cryptocurrency, but we still want to give our users a option to go into a privacy coin at some point effciently without worry of value loss.
Correct me if I’m wrong, Bitcoin Air is a Haven & Bitcoin fork, while Haven originated as a pure Monero fork. If I understand that correctly what does this mean for XAP, for instance; will Monero features like RingCT be a part of your project or will Monero-Specific features not be a part of the overall Bitcoin Air project?

Bitcoin Air is a bilateral merge fork joining Peercoin with Bitcoin, and forking Haven Protocol into our side chain.
This means that, in the end, there will be 2 chains operating together with one being accessible to exchanges and basic user features like sending and receiving; while the other operates privately in the background of this chain only accessible via wallet interface for means of minting/burning and staking/mining.
The Haven Protocol end of the chain will not feature basic usage like sending and receiving, and will instead carry the latest features for minting, burning, and printing of fiat Air Cash.
If I understand correctly, you have two options for binding your cryptocurrency into a static dollar (or similar) value, the first one is $USDAP — which I imagine works more or less like Haven’s $XHVD, right?

$XHVD will operate much like $USDAP, except for the fact that they are using smart contracts and we are applying a new solid blockchain. This static resource backed currency chain will operate to back the overall reserves and value of $XAP and Air Cash
And the second one, Air Cash, I find especially interesting. You will allow users to print their own QR coded “paper money” for use at retailers, etc. Does this money exist on its own sidechain, or is it more or less a physical version of the $USDAP?

This is correct. Air Cash will be the physical, fiat form of $USDAP. Users will be able to customize their own fiat currency sheets with predesigned templates that they can then add to their basic home printer.
The user would choose the denomination (Sheets would print in size of 8 bills) and they could choose to set the bills equally, or to diferent denominations. The wallet would then generate private key, and print the denomination value of $USDAP on the bill front along with the QR code generated Private Key as the center. The wallet would send the wallet to this address and it would be removed from the wallet entirely. The Air Cash would now maintain the value of the $USDAP and can be used in store or handed over to another person.
The merchant or user could then sweep the Air Cash into their wallet and receive $USDAP. The paper would then become worthless and could be recycled as needed.
Will the creating of Air Cash require any form of miner fee, and if so will that fee be a “static value” bound to it or a fluctuating value? In other words, will it be tied to cents or to “satoshis”?

The creating of Air Cash will require a static fee tied to $USDAP that will only vary based on a the amount you send. These ranges would most likely be $0.01-$10,000, $10,001-$100,000, and $100,001+. These fees will most likely be extremely small ranging from $0.05-$0.15 accordingly.
We are not going to allow miners/stakers to set the price on this as people should not be held back from when they need fiat, but all things take resources to create, and we feel a small fee should be in line to provide back resources to the mining and staking community securing and operating our network.
Also, what happens if a user looses an Air Cash bill before they get the ability to spend it. Will it be lost forever, like “normal currency” or will it only be lost if someone manages to spend it before you have time to move the currency to another address, and print a new bill?

The user will have a maintained track record of all of the bills they print within their private Air Cash Ledger. This ledger will not be available to the public due to the Haven Protocol/Monero Privacy Features. The user will be able to swap an Air Cash bill if it has not been swept into the receiving parties wallet if they set the loss prevention feature on within their wallet.
If the bill has been swept into the receiving parties wallet, they will not be able to cancel the bill. This feature will be available via desktop and mobile to ensure the quickest response to lost funds. This would encourage people to ensure that the receiving party sweeps their funds immediately, as you would want to ensure the value is on the bill!
Also, as a miner, I’m curious about how I can obtain Bitcoin Air through mining. I’ve seen you describe the project as “Hybrid Dynamic Proof of Stake and Proof of Work coin” — does this mean that one can both mine and stake in order to participate in the network?

We are currently developing a new consensus algorithm that we are dubbing “Proof of Risk”. We prefer not to release much information on our new consensus algorithm for now, but we plan to release extensive information once it is perfected. Just know for now, you will be allowed to both mine, and stake. It will also be HIGHLY encouraged, if not required, to do so in some sort of way.
Can you tell us a bit more a bout the planned merchant platform, what are its base features and how will it work?

The future merchant platform will be available to both in-person and online merchants. Small Business that accept Bitcoin Air will be able to use any tablet that allows them to download the Bitcoin Air PoS Application. This will allow their tablet to turn into a mobile PoS system with Sweep features thanks to the cameras on most tablets. Merchant can establish their item list and can have the consumer scan the QR code shown on the screen to automatically set the amount and receiving address.
Consumers will confirm the amount and proceed to process the transaction in $XAP. When the merchant receives confirmation, the system will automatically convert their $XAP to $USDAP so they can avoid market volatility until they choose to re-enter and sell to fiat. For online merchants, it will allow integration with most e-commerce platforms available. This means people can proceed to pay for their items with Bitcoin Air via their Desktop or Mobile wallets wherever accepted.
When you fork, you have — in your latest community update — listed the following existing chains that will be receiving Airdrops of either $XAP or $UDSAP:

Bitcoin ($BTC) holders will receive Bitcoin Air ($XAP)
Peercoin ($PPC) holders will receive Bitcoin Air ($XAP)
Haven Protocol ($XHV) holders will receive USD Air Protocol ($USDAP)
I find it interesting that $BTC and $PPC holders will receive $XAP as a result of the fork, while $XHV holders will receive $USDAP instantly without needing to mint them, will this mean that every $XHV holder is guaranteed a re-mintable (or is it burnable, perhaps:) value of ~1$ USD for each $XHV they are holding while the $PPC and $BTC holders will get a coin of fluctuating value?

This is somewhat correct. $XHV holders will receive a static value $USDAP after the snapshot for the fork. Bitcoin and Peercoin holders will receive $XAP, which is subject to market health and volatility due to access via exchanges. Bitcoin and Peercoin holders who would like to exit the volatility can simply mint into $USDAP whenever they would like to.
Full Disclosure: I’m currently a part of the Bitcoin Air team and will help them with their marketing. This is a great chance for me to get “an insiders view” on the development of a new cryptocurrency, and as such I see this as a great opportunity for me to get to write some more interesting articles on Bitcoin Air and its development process as it moves along. Stay tuned.

https://bitcoinair.org/
submitted by 67vader to Crypto_General [link] [comments]

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